Dr Patrick Amoth, Director-general at the MoH, has revealed that the peak of infections could occur between August and September.
In his address during the daily COVID-19 briefing, Dr Amoth stated that their modelling revealed that the country could peak at about 200 cases per day.
Following guidelines key
That was if Kenyans would follow the guidelines that the government had put in place.
“According to our current modelling, we project that our peak will be around August – September, where we will report about 200 cases a day.” Dr Amoth said.
He also revealed that with ramped-up testing, the number of figures that the country reports daily would go up concurrently. The reason, he said, was because community transmission of the virus has already taken root.
“The numbers that we have been reporting keep on increasing because we have ramped up our testing capacity and established community transmission. The more we test, the more cases we find.”
Models to keep changing depending on variables
However, Dr Amoth said that the modelling would keep on changing based on more variables.
“Remember modelling keeps on changing based on the variables you input and our wish is to continue with the existing measures because they have ensured our hospitals have not been overrun,”
Kenya’s surge in cases
The development came as Kenya recorded its highest surge of cases in 24 hours, as 80 people tested positive for COVID-19. The new figures moved the total cases to 1,109. Nine more people recovered, raising the total recoveries to 375.
Dr Amoth continued to urge Kenyans to take the necessary precautions of washing hands and maintaining social distancing. These measures, he said, would determine how the government would go about reopening the economy.
Kenya is currently on its second month of partial lockdown, with movement into and out of Nairobi, Mombasa, and Mandera completely banned. The three are among the worst affected counties.