Home World World Biden is 8 points ahead of Trump in new election poll

Biden is 8 points ahead of Trump in new election poll

According to a survey, 51% of voters would vote for Biden if the election were today; in Trump, 43% Image: Drew Angerer and Sarah Silbiger / Getty Images / AFP

Former Vice President and Democratic candidate for president of the United States, Joe Biden, maintained his leadership over President Donald Trump in the new survey by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News. According to the survey, about 51% of registered voters in the country would vote for Biden if the election were today, compared to 43% who would support Trump.

Biden’s eight percentage point advantage over Trump was similar to last month’s survey, 9 percentage points. In July, the difference between the two candidates was 11 points. Biden has been leading polls by six or more points throughout the year.

The Wall Street Journal / NBC News poll was conducted with 1,000 voters between September 13 and 16 – before the death of Supreme Court judge Ruth Bader Ginsburg last Friday (18). In addition to this factor, the three presidential debates can influence voters in the last weeks of the campaign. The first is scheduled for September 29.

For now, most voters say they are determined about their choices, with more than 70% saying the debates will be of little importance to them, including 44% who say they will not influence their choice at all, a record since 2000.

“Simply put: in 2020, the foundations of our country were shaken to the core, while the foundations of the election were not,” said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt, who conducted the poll with Republican Bill McInturff.

Attention to the campaign was already at a record high before the battle expected to replace Judge Ginsburg. A record 75% of voters in the poll rated their interest in the election at 10 on a 10-point scale.

Economy and coronavirus

Donald Trump - Brendan Smialowski / AFP - Brendan Smialowski / AFP
Image: Brendan Smialowski / AFP

despite Trump continue to lose in national research, research has shown that it carries some advantages for the final weeks. Voters continue to see him as more suited than Biden to manage the economy – 48% in favor of Trump, against 38% for Biden – even though the pandemic has left millions unemployed.

Trump it has been attracting Republicans who say they support the party itself more than the president, and has a more enthusiastic voter base, according to the poll. “There is a pulse of possibility for Donald Trump (now) that it was much more difficult to see in July, “said McInturff.

Although voters see Trump as the best manager of the economy, they increasingly see him as the weakest option to deal with the coronavirus. Of the voters, 51% consider Biden the best candidate to control the outbreak, compared to 29% who Trump for the task – difference of 22 points, compared to 11 points in June.

The president’s approval rating in general is 45% among respondents, three percentage points above July; disapproval is 53%. Trump is winning over male voters, but by a smaller percentage than Biden is winning over women.

The president has also been attracting a smaller share of the white vote than in 2016 and achieving a lower performance among voters aged 65 or older than four years ago. Biden is winning over this audience, with 50% of his voting intentions, compared to 46% in favor of Trump.

Asked which candidate is better at dealing with crime and violence, 43% of voters pointed out Trump, against 41% who answered Biden. Trump has said Biden is too weak to respond to protests in US cities against racial injustices.

Horwitt noted, however, that voters in the country are just as concerned about the lack of order in cities as they are about the police shooting black residents. “The power of this issue should not be underestimated, even if it has not yet helped to change the trajectory of the election,” he said, referring to Trump.

China and military

Joe Biden - Kevin Lamarque / Reuters - Kevin Lamarque / Reuters
Image: Kevin Lamarque / Reuters

The president’s criticisms of Biden regarding China’s policies have had some effect among voters: 46% say they Trump it is better suited to deal with the Asian country, compared to 37% who defend the former vice president.

With regard to the US military and veterans, 47% of respondents consider Biden better for supporting and respecting the category, above the 42% who prefer Trump. Voters also see Biden as more honest and trustworthy and, by an overwhelming margin of 52% versus 28%, say he is better able to unite the country.

The research shows that Biden has managed to correct some deficiencies in his electoral base, improving numbers of young and black voters. Among these audiences, negative opinions about Biden outnumber those positive by 2 percentage points in the current poll, up from 12 points in July. Negative opinions about Trump outperform the positives by 11 points in the survey released today.

Although 38% of voters say there is no chance of supporting Biden, 47% say this about Trump. “This is a big barrier” for the president, said McInturff. Only 11% in the poll suggest that their vote is up for grabs.

The Wall Street Journal / NBC News poll’s margin of error is 3.1 percentage points up or down.

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