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Which country is most likely to survive in the event of a collapse?

Should civilization collapse – a possible consequence of climate change – scientists have already figured out which place in the world is most likely to survive: New Zealand.

In a survey, two professors from Anglia Ruskin University they tried to figure out which countries would be the best to serve as “life rafts” should the planet collapse. The study was published in the journal Sustainability.

In this sense, the researchers made a list of countries that could be candidates for the title. Thus, they compare Australia, Iceland, Ireland, New Zealand and the United Kingdom.

The countries on the list were chosen for being islands, therefore, more likely to insulate itself from a general meltdown. Also, all are characterized by being big enough to maintain a society, in case it loses the opportunity to trade.

By analyzing multiple variables, experts realized that New Zealand had what they call “greater potential to form a ‘knot of persistent complexity’”, cites the IFLScience.

Iceland, Ireland, and northern Australia are also promising locations, as is Tasmania.

However, in turn, “the UK presents a more complex picture and potentially has less favorable characteristics “in general”, reports the study.

The idea that New Zealand could be the ideal getaway in the event of a breakdown in society, it is also shared by some of the biggest millionaires in the world, who even bought properties in the country as a guarantee in case something happens.

This trend contributed to the skyrocketing of house prices in the country, leading the government to prohibit the purchase of houses by non-residents.

But there is a problem…

While New Zealand is the ideal place to survive a meltdown, it has a flaw that could compromise society – as do three of the other countries analyzed. Investigators realized that states are not self-sufficient in oil, only the UK owns a substantial amount of fuel.

All other countries would need to find alternative ways to manage their transport fleets – if global collapse made imports impossible.

According to the study, “significant changes in the coming years and decades. The impact of climate change, including increased frequency and intensity of droughts and floods, extreme temperatures and increased population movement, could dictate the severity of these changes,” said Aled Jones, one of the study’s authors, in a statement.

“In addition to analyzing which countries would be best suited to survive such a collapse (…) our study aims to highlight actions to address the interlinked factors of climate change, agricultural capacity, domestic energy, manufacturing capacity and overreliance on complexity, they are needed to improve the resilience of nations that do not have the most favorable initial conditions”, it reads.

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